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Five things to know about Tennessee’s 2015 test scores, out today

PHOTO: Tennessee Department of Education
Gov. Bill Haslam announces the release of state TCAP scores in 2014.

Tennessee officials’ annual test-score announcement on Thursday will mark the end of an era.

This year’s scores are the last for the multiple-choice tests known as TCAP that the state has administered for more than two decades. Next year, students are set to take a new exam that officials say will be a better measure of students’ skills.

The impending test switch doesn’t mean this year’s results aren’t important. Indeed, the scores will be used to evaluate students, teachers, schools, and districts alike.

Here’s what you need to know about the new test scores.

1. The state is coming off of years of gains — and exultance about them.

For the past four years, students’ TCAP scores improved in most subjects. A major question in this year’s scores will be whether and to what degree that trend continues.

Another question is how top officials talk about the scores.

Last year, Gov. Bill Haslam and then-commissioner Kevin Huffman credited the recent gains to a slew of education policy changes triggered by a 2010 state law called “First to the Top,” which included adopting new standards, mandating the use of test scores to evaluate teachers, and targeting resources to the neediest schools. But Huffman resigned in January amid sharp criticism about the way he rolled out those initiatives, and Haslam appointed Lipscomb University dean Candice McQueen to replace him.

So far, the new commissioner has stayed the course when it comes to teacher evaluations and other policies instituted by her predecessor. McQueen’s first test score announcement could hint at whether that will continue to be the case, or if she’ll call for new changes to influence next year’s scores.

2. This year’s test was out of step with what was supposed to happen in classrooms.

When Tennessee adopted the Common Core, it also planned for students to start taking an exam that was tied to the standards this year. But lawmakers — concerned about the fact that the standards and exam, known as PARCC, had been developed outside the state — mandated in 2014 that the state hold on to TCAP for another year, then switch to another Tennessee-only exam.

That means this year’s exam was not designed to test what students are expected to know. TCAP was never updated to reflect the standards, only culled to remove questions that explicitly contradict the Common Core.

Officials say the TCAP is still a fair measure of student learning. But they’ve also acknowledged the discrepancy between what the test asks students to know and what teachers are asked to teach.

“We are teaching standards that are challenging students’ higher order thinking skills, and we have a test that’s still a bubble test,” Erin O’Hara, then assistant commissioner for data and research, said last summer. “Until we transition to assessments that are based more fully on the Common Core, we’ll continue to see people struggle on how to adjust.”

That transition begins next year, when students are set to take a new exam known as TNReady that is costing the state $108 million to roll out. That test will be aligned with the Common Core for at least two years, until Tennessee adopts new standards in 2017 after a review that Haslam initiated last year.

“The new TNReady assessment is going to be significantly more meaningful, especially for students and parents, but also for teachers,” said Teresa Wasson, communications director of the advocacy group State Collaborative On Reforming Education, or SCORE. “It’s going to provide a fair opportunity for students to show skills that they’ve learned — real world skills like critical thinking and problem solving, rather than test-taking tricks.”

In other states, the switch to Common Core tests has been accompanied by a drop-off in scores. Wasson said that while that could happen in Tennessee, she was hopeful that the state’s strong showing in 2013 on a national exam that tests skills similar to those called for under the Common Core meant that it would not.

3. For the first time in years, students’ grades held no clues about test scores.

The state provided information about this year’s test scores to teachers so they could factor them into students’ end-of-course grades, as the law has requires them to since 2010. But those “quick scores” did not offer indications of students’ TCAP performance the way they have in the past.

That’s because the way the state calculates quick scores changed mysteriously and quietly since last year. The scores that educators received last month were higher than many expected, given their students’ past test performance and current skill level.

Officials quickly clarified that because of a policy change that they had not communicated publicly, the higher quick scores did not necessarily represent higher proficiency rates. For example, a student in the fourth grade who had quick score of 88 — previously a suggestion of a “proficient” TCAP score — might still be considered “basic” on this year’s test.

As a result, educators have less information than they might have had in the past about test scores. And the confusion around quick scores means that state officials might face a tougher road than in the past to convincing Tennesseans that they are accurately describing changes in students’ skills.

4. The big picture is likely to show significant achievement gaps — and potentially to reflect efforts to close them.

As is true across the country, broad statewide trends tend to mask widely disparate performance among different groups of students.

Last year, the state’s achievement gaps between white students and non-white students narrowed slightly. But the performance gap between low-income students and other students did not shrink, and the gap between students with disabilities and their peers actually grew in a majority of subjects.

This year, the state rolled out a new program, Response to Instruction and Intervention, to target the lowest-performing students in hopes of closing those gaps. The new scores will offer insight into that program’s progress.

5. Lots of important information won’t come out until later.

Unusually, Tennessee releases test scores in three waves each year. The first data dump shows only statewide numbers, which are useful for assessing broad trends but not for answering more detailed questions about local change.

District- and school-level results will be released in the coming weeks. Those will allow for a closer analysis of how individual teachers and students performed, and of how local school improvement efforts, such as the Innovation Zone in Memphis and the state-run Achievement School District, are going.

And an update about how Tennessee students are faring compared to students in other states won’t arrive until this fall, when the latest results of a test known as the nation’s report card are released. That exam, the National Assessment of Educational Progress or NAEP, is given to students in all 50 states and has been the only way to compare students in an era of state-specific annual tests. The last time scores came out, in 2013, Tennessee students had made the biggest gains in the country, although students’ absolute scores were still low. Whether Tennessee continues to set the pace now that many other states have begun testing students on the Common Core standards, which more closely reflect what NAEP assesses, is a big question.

Update: The scores are now available. Read about them here. 

What are you looking for in this year’s statewide scores? Let us know in the comments.

Surprising report

EXCLUSIVE: Did online snafus skew Tennessee test scores? Analysts say not much

PHOTO: TN.gov
Education Commissioner Candice McQueen will release the results of Tennessee's 2017-18 standardized test this week, but the reliability of those TNReady scores has been in question since this spring's problem-plagued administration of the online exam.

An independent analysis of technical problems that disrupted Tennessee’s online testing program this spring is challenging popular opinion that student scores were significantly tainted as a result.

Education Commissioner Candice McQueen said Wednesday that the disruptions to computerized testing had “small to no impact” on scores, based on a monthlong analysis by the Human Resources Research Organization, or HumRRO. The Virginia-based technical group has expertise in psychometrics, the science behind educational assessments.

“We do believe these are valid, reliable scores,” McQueen told Chalkbeat on the eve of releasing state- and district-level scores for TNReady, the state’s standardized test in its third year.


Here are five things to know as Tennessee prepares to release TNReady scores


The state hired the research group to scrutinize several issues, including whether frequent online testing snafus made this year’s results unreliable. For instance, during at least seven days out of the three-week testing window, students statewide reported problems logging in, staying online, and submitting their tests — issues that eventually prompted the Legislature to roll back the importance of scores in students’ final grades, teacher evaluations, and school accountability systems.

But the analysis did not reveal a dramatic impact.

“For students who experienced the disruption, the analysis did not find any systematic effect on test scores that resulted from lapses in time between signing in and submitting their tests,” McQueen told Chalkbeat.

There was, however, a “small but consistent effect” if a student had to log on multiple times in order to complete the test, she said.

“When I say small, we’re talking about an impact that would be a handful of scale score points out of, say, a possible 200 or 250 points,” McQueen said.

Analysts found some differences in test score averages between 2017 and 2018 but concluded they were not due to the technical disruptions.

“Plausible explanations could be the students just didn’t know the (academic) standards as well and just didn’t do as well on the test,” McQueen said. “Or perhaps they were less motivated after learning that their scores would not count in their final grades after the legislation passed. … The motivation of our students is an unknown we just can’t quantify. We can’t get in their minds on motivation.”

About half of the 600,000 students who took TNReady this year tested with computers, and the other half used paper materials in the state’s transition to online exams. Those testing online included all high school students.

Out of about 502,000 end-of-course tests administered to high schoolers, educators filed about 7,600 irregularity reports – about 1.4 percent – related to problems with test administration, which automatically invalidated those results.

The state asked the analysts specifically to look at the irregularity reports for patterns that could be cause for concern, such as demographic shifts or excessive use of invalidations. They found none.

TNReady headaches started on April 16 – the first day of testing – when students struggled to log on. More problems emerged during the weeks that followed until technicians finally traced the issues to a combination of “bugs in the software” and the slowness of a computerized tool that helps students in need of audible instructions. At one point, officials with testing company Questar blamed a possible cyberattack for shutting down its online platform, but state investigators later dismissed that theory.

While this year’s scores officially are mostly inconsequential, McQueen emphasized Wednesday that the results are still valuable for understanding student performance and growth and analyzing the effectiveness of classroom instruction across Tennessee.

“TNReady scores should be looked at just like any data point in the scheme of multiple data points,” she said. “That’s how we talk about this every year. But it’s an important data point.”

heads up

Tennessee will release TNReady test scores on Thursday. Here are five things to know.

PHOTO: Getty Images/Kali9

When Tennessee unveils its latest standardized test scores on Thursday, the results won’t count for much.

Technical problems marred the return to statewide online testing this spring, prompting the passage of several emergency state laws that rendered this year’s TNReady scores mostly inconsequential. As a result, poor results can’t be used to hold students, educators, or schools accountable — for instance, firing a teacher or taking over a struggling school through the state’s Achievement School District.

But good or bad, the scores still can be useful, say teachers like Josh Rutherford, whose 11th-grade students were among those who experienced frequent online testing interruptions in April.

“There are things we can learn from the data,” said Rutherford, who teaches English at Houston County High School. “I think it would be unprofessional to simply dismiss this year’s scores.”

Heading into this week’s data dump, here are five things to know:

1. This will be the biggest single-day release of state scores since the TNReady era began three years ago.

Anyone with internet access will be able to view state- and district-level scores for math, English, and science for grades 3-12. And more scores will come later. School-by-school data will be released publicly in a few weeks. In addition, Tennessee will unveil the results of its new social studies test this fall after setting the thresholds for what constitutes passing scores at each grade level.

2. Still, this year’s results are anticlimactic.

There are two major reasons. First, many educators and parents question the scores’ reliability due to days of online testing headaches. They also worry that high school students stopped trying after legislators stepped in to say the scores don’t necessarily have to count in final grades. Second, because the scores won’t carry their intended weight, the stakes are lower this year. For instance, teachers have the option of nullifying their evaluation scores. And the state also won’t give each school an A-F grade this fall as originally planned. TNReady scores were supposed to be incorporated into both of those accountability measures.

3. The state is looking into the reliability of the online test scores.

In addition to an internal review by the Education Department, the state commissioned an independent analysis by the Human Resources Research Organization. Researchers for the Virginia-based technical group studied the impact of Tennessee’s online interruptions by looking into testing irregularity reports filed in schools and by scrutinizing variances from year to year and school to school, among other things. (Editor’s note: After this story’s initial publication, Education Commissioner Candice McQueen revealed what the analysis found. Here’s that story.)

4. The reliability of paper-and-pencil test scores are not as much in question.

Only about half of Tennessee’s 600,000 students who took TNReady this year tested on computers. The other half — in grades 3-5 and many students in grades 6-8 — took the exams the old-fashioned way. Though there were some complaints related to paper testing too, state officials say they’re confident about those results. Even so, the Legislature made no distinction between the online and paper administrations of TNReady when they ordered that scores only count if they benefit students, teachers, and schools.

5. Ultimately, districts and school communities will decide how to use this year’s data.

Even within the same district, it wasn’t uncommon for one school to experience online problems and another to enjoy a much smoother testing experience. “Every district was impacted differently,” said Dale Lynch, executive director of the state superintendents organization. “It’s up to the local district to look at the data and make decisions based on those local experiences.”

District leaders have been reviewing the embargoed scores for several weeks, and they’ll share them with teachers in the days and weeks ahead. As for families, parents can ask to see their students’ individual score reports so they can learn from this year’s results, too. Districts distribute those reports in different ways, but they’re fair game beginning Thursday. You can learn more here.